Oceanside

Steve Blair

760.216.8008

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Talk about change! The residential Oceanside, San Diego Real Estate Market has heated up dramatically in the past few months. Prices are down as much as 30% from the same month last year. For homes priced less than $450,000, there is a rush on home purchases. In this article, this is the price range I will address because it seems to be where there is the most activity.

First, let’s address “short sales”. A “short sale” is when the property owner can no longer afford the monthly payments and has decided to go into default. There is about a 6 month period before the closure actually occurs. In this period of time the property can be listed for sale. When an offer is submitted on the property, the offer is accepted by the seller and forwarded to the bank. It is up to the bank to accept, reject, or negotiate the offer. If you are looking to buy a property that is a “short sale”, here is what to expect. The homes will be priced aggressively by the listing agents. This insures maximum exposure and traffic to the property. The key for the listing agent and property owner is to procure an offer because the banks will not respond without one. So the properties are very aggressively priced. Buyers and investors look at the low prices and jump at the opportunity to purchase. Then the buyers have to wait, often months, to get a response from the bank. Sometimes they are disappointed because the bank decides to foreclose.

If you are a buyer looking to purchase a “short sale” be sure you are working with an experienced agent. An experienced agent not only advises you correctly, they should also insure the agent representing the seller is handling the transaction properly. The agent handling the sale must be persistent with the bank. Most often “short sale” properties don’t close escrow quickly because it can take months for the banks to respond

I will coin a phrase and say we are in a “dysfunctional sellers market” or a dysfunctional “buyers market”. Traditionally a “sellers market” is a period of time when there are fewer properties on the market, prices are strong and lots of buyers. This creates an environment where there are multiple offers and properties sell quickly. The list price or close to it is often obtained. Well, today there are lots of buyers, prices are weak and there are lots of properties on the market… So as you can see, it is different. For these properties, are we in a “sellers market” or a “buyers market”?

Another segment of the market is bank owned properties. This market has also heated up substantially. Each bank has their own approach to selling their properties. Most of them will price the properties aggressively to sell them quickly. Some will fix them up, while others will bring them to the market in dismal condition. Again, for properties in the $450,000 and under market, it is commonplace to have multiple offers within the first two weeks of the property being listed. If you are looking to buy a property that is bank owned, you may encounter a bidding situation. Some of the bank owned properties are starting to sell above the list price. The key to successfully purchasing a bank owned property is to act quickly and be sure your offer is at market.

 Most of the banks want their properties to be on the market at least seven days before they respond to an offer. This way they hope to receive multiple offers. In this situation they can maximize the price. They then can counter all the buyers’ offers with “Give us your highest and best price”. Again, is it a buyer’s or seller’s market? Multiple offers to buy but at steeply reduced prices.

Timing when you buy in the real estate industry is vital. There is a saying in the commercial and residential real estate market “When you buy it is “location, location, location”. In addition I would add “Timing, timing, timing”. Buyers that purchased property 2 or 3 years ago paid top dollar for their property. If they purchased for the short term they will be disappointed when they sell the property. If they purchased the property for a 8, to 10 year or longer period they will be fine.

Due to its size and different segments, the residential real estate market can be complex. A buyer may have had a friend purchase a “short sale” property several months ago. Based on the success of their friends today’s buyer expect the same results. If they move quickly they can have the same success, but it is not guaranteed. The “short sale” market in todays’ market is much more competitive. It all goes back to the “supply and demand” factor. Overall, there is a lot of supply. But remember there are micro-markets that have tremendous demand. 

Now. let’s address privately owned properties that are not “short sale” or bank owned  priced in the $450,000 and under price range. These sellers are usually highly motivated. They understand that prices have fallen dramatically in the past few years and it is not the best of times to sell. Therefore they must price their properties accordingly if they expect to be successful. These properties are favorably positioned to sell quickly. Many buyers and real estate agents prefer these properties. They can get quicker responses and the sellers are usually easier to work with. Substantiating this fact when a property is not a “short sale” and is privately owned; the listing agent will prominently note this on the multiple listing.

If you step back from the market and analyze it from a buyer’s standpoint, properties are priced substantially less than they were a few years ago and are being perceived as bargains. There are still some buyers that are still waiting to see if the market has indeed reached bottom. But how do they know? It is said the only way to tell if the market has reached rock bottom is when prices have leveled off or have started climbing.  So you really don’t know until it happens. I believe we are getting close.
Steve Blair, Realty Executives, is a broker and a Realtor.  He has over 20 years of experience in the real estate market.  His focus is on listing homes for ready buyers.  He also works with buyers making sure they are pre-qualified and ready to purchase.  For a free consultation, Steve can be reached at 760.216.8008.    Steveblair7@yahoo.com    www.homesweetsandiego.com

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The past two years the real estate market in North San Diego County and in Oceanside, California has been in a steady decline. However, there are indicators that the market may start to level off in the next few months. It has always been my opinion that astute full time real estate agents are well positioned to gauge and forecast the immediate market.

Now I have to be real careful here. Our society frowns on real estate agents that make predictions. That being said let me cover my bases and say, there are no crystal balls and I am only voicing an opinion.

Contrary to most of the naysayer’s, it may be a terrific time for buyer’s to jump off the fence and purchase a home. Both interest rates and prices are good. Most of the real estate articles written refer to more properties going into foreclosure and coming on the market. Those predictions come from researching current loans and I am sure are accurate.

What I am seeing first-hand is this; aggressively priced bank owned properties and “short sales” are receiving multiple offers. It is logical if there are multiple offers for aggressively priced properties, then it is no longer a “Buyers Market” for those properties. Additionally, the government, confused as they are, will eventually stumble onto and implement an effective (through trial and error) plan to stabilize the market.

Therefore, I am going to say there are some excellent opportunities to buy bank owned properties and “short sales”. There are also indications that investors are starting to enter the market place. When investors start snapping up properties, that further stabilizes the market.
On the sell side, although not a good time to sell due to the decline in prices, if you are a property owner with an immediate need to sell, then now may be the time because the market may not get better for quite some time. If it is leveling off, it may stay there for awhile.

Steve Blair
Realty Executives
760.216.8008

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Pacific Breez, Oceanside California

Search real estate in Pacific Breez, Oceanside and find Pacific Breezhome values. Access all homes, condos, townhomes and real estate for sale in Pacific Breez, including existing, new construction homes, foreclosure, pre-foreclosure, reo and bank owned properties. We also serve all Neighborhoods / Subdivisions in Oceanside, California and surrounding communities.

View Real Estate For Sale in Pacific Breez, Oceanside

Oceanside Pacific Breez, Oceanside California Real Estate

Give us a call today to find how our services can help you when buying or selling real estate in Pacific Breez. If you are thinking of selling your home or just like to know your Oceanside house value, request for a FREE CMA and we will be in touch with you to provide a free no obligation comparable market analysis of your property.

Oceanside, CA Real Estate

We understand and respect that most buyers would like to search for Oceanside real estate at their own pace and sometimes without the assistance of a real estate agent.
Please visit our free real estate search page and view Oceanside Real Estate listings, Oceanside California homes, Oceanside condos/townhomes for sale by all real estate offices in Oceanside area.

If you have any questions on real estate in Pacific Breez, please feel free contact us by phone/email and we will respond to your request as soon as possible.

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Hermosa, Oceanside California

Search real estate in Hermosa, Oceanside and find Hermosa home values. Access all homes, condos, townhomes and real estate for sale in Hermosa, including existing, new construction homes, foreclosure, pre-foreclosure, reo and bank owned properties. We also serve all Neighborhoods / Subdivisions in Oceanside, California and surrounding communities.

View Real Estate For Sale in Hermosa, Oceanside

Oceanside Hermosa, Oceanside California Real Estate

Give us a call today to find how our services can help you when buying or selling real estate in Hermosa. If you are thinking of selling your home or just like to know your Oceanside house value, request for a FREE CMA and we will be in touch with you to provide a free no obligation comparable market analysis of your property.

Oceanside, CA Real Estate

We understand and respect that most buyers would like to search for Oceanside real estate at their own pace and sometimes without the assistance of a real estate agent.
Please visit our free real estate search page and view Oceanside Real Estate listings, Oceanside California homes, Oceanside condos/townhomes for sale by all real estate offices in Oceanside area.

If you have any questions on real estate in Hermosa, please feel free contact us by phone/email and we will respond to your request as soon as possible.

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Oceanside Real Estate Report

Oceanside Monthly Real Estate Market Trends

Zip Codes: 92054, 92056, 92057

The following chart shows median and average price trends plus Oceanside single-family home sales. The chart uses a 3-month moving average to smooth out month-to-month fluctuations yet retain seasonal variations.

The next chart is the same as above but uses a 12-month moving average to eliminate seasonal variation.

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Detailed information on homes or neighborhoods can be had by calling or e-mailing us. Or, fill out our Buying or Selling forms located in the menu to the left.

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Source: rereport.com

San Diego County Property Sales Continued to Fall in 2007

We asked the question last year, after three years of falling sales, whether or not 2006 would prove to be the bottom of the market. And, the answer is in: NO! Of course, this begs the question of whether or not 2007 will prove to be the bottom of the market. Hmmmm?

None of the talking heads could have predicted the credit crunch that quite effectively reduced demand. I would say decimated demand, but, in realty, decimated means lopping off 10%. No, the credit crunch did more than that in the last half of 2007. Plus, we still have a plethora of adjustable rate mortgages rising upwards waiting in the wings.

Yet, there are still signs that this year may see the market finally hit bottom: Bank of America is buying Countrywide, which will provide stability to the mortgage market, and many Sovereign Funds are injecting liquidity into the mortgage market, albeit not through any altruism, but because they’re buying assets for pennies on the dollar. Plus, the Fed will probably continue to lower interest rates, which will provide relief for consumer debt. Remember though, the Fed’s actions have little if no effect on fixed mortgage rates.

On the the numbers. Sales of single-family, re-sale homes in 2007 were down for the fourth year in a row in San Diego County: falling 16.5%, a relief after the 23.4% drop in 2006. Condo sales were down 12.6%, compared to a drop of 26.1% in 2006. Another thing to remember, the lofty sales figures for 2002, 2003 and 2004, when sales peaked, where due to investor activity, not the simple supply and demand of people who wanted to buy homes to live in.

The median price for re-sale homes dropped 1.7%, the first drop since we’ve been keeping records: 1998. Of note, the average price rose 1.4%. This is a tale of two markets. The entry level market has been creamed by the credit crunch because buyers in this segment of the market depended upon no-doc and 100% financing loans to buy homes. These loans are gone, completely.

The $1,000,000 plus market has, therefore, become a larger percentage of total sales, which has had the effect of keeping statistical prices higher than reality.

Of course, statistical prices have absolutely no bearing on what your home is worth or what you can buy a home for. That depends entirely upon the agreement you make with the buyer or seller.

As you go through the various charts and tables in this report, you will see that the lower priced cities have, for the most part, suffered the greatest decrease in sales.

Will the market bottom out this year? Perhaps. Probably not before the summer. In any event, subscribe to this report and stay tuned.

San Diego County

San Diego County

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Detailed information on homes or neighborhoods can be had by calling or e-mailing us. Or, fill out our Buying or Selling forms located in the menu to the left.


DEFINITIONS

Median Price
Median Price is the price at which 50% of properties sold were above that price and 50% were below.
Average Price
Average Price is the sum of all prices divided by the number of sales.
DOM
Average Days on Market is calculated from when a property was first put on the market until it was put under contract, or taken off the market.
SP/LP
The average selling price divided by the average list price.

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